As institutional entities return to the market after the holiday period, however, the downtrend has resumed, this in line with expectations that larger-volume buyers would step in beginning in Q1.
Exchange balance data is a topic of some debate this week. Different statistics sources use varying numbers of exchanges and wallets, resulting in data that is barely comparable.
CryptoQuant’s 21 exchanges, for example, compete with 18 monitored by Glassnode and 5 by CoinMetrics.
Another resource, Cryptorank, put the balance at just 1.3 million BTC on Christmas Eve.
Depending on the platforms included, the trend may also be different, as some exchanges have seen an overall reduction in their balance over the past month, while others have seen an increase.
If you leave out exchanges it skews the results. Leaving out eg. Huobi has a huge impact because of the China spot trading ban.https://t.co/knyoF702kW
— Root (@therationalroot) January 3, 2022
As Cointelegraph reported, this was the case with Huobi Global, which was obliged to deregister Chinese mainland users by the end of 2021 in line with regulations.
Bigger fish to run the show
In a discussion with CryptoQuant last week, analyst David Puell, creator of the well-known Puell Multiple indicator, meanwhile revealed his thoughts on upcoming market participant behavior.
Related: New year, same ‘extreme fear’ — 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week
The “relaxed” nature of Bitcoin in 2021 versus, for example, 2019, has kept retail investors and their “FOMO” away.
“I think this is long-term healthy,” he said.
“The market is mostly going to be owned by institutional players, especially in month-to-month price movements, with some profit-taking from early adopters but a much more diminished role coming from retail players.”
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